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ConocoPhillips shale output to grow 25% in 2019, CEO says, even as oil slides

ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) expects its shale production to increase 25% next year even as crude oil prices tumble, proving the industry’s resilience in volatile markets, CEO Ryan Lance tells Bloomberg.

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ConocoPhillips plans $6.1 billion in capital expenditures in 2019, the oil and gas giant says, which is about the same amount the Houston-based company will spend by the end of 2018.

ConocoPhillips said it said it expects to buy back $3 billion of its own stock. The company plans to increase its target payout to shareholders to more than 30% of cash from operations, up from 20% to 30%. The company said it expects 2019 production to range from 1,300 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (MBOED) to 1,350 MBOED.

The CEO says COP’s wells in the Eagle Ford Shale, Permian Basin and Bakken field generate cash when prices hover ~$50/bbl; the company pumped 313K bbl/day from the three regions combined during Q3, or 25% of the company’s global production.

Production growth likely “slows down at $50 but I don’t think it stops at $50 and it certainly continues if prices get back to $60,” Lance says, adding that skeptics thought shale “wouldn’t last long but it’s here, it’s a huge resource and it’s going to be resilient and long lasting.”

ConocoPhillips plans $6.1B capex for 2019, $3B in share buybacks (Dec. 10)

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Exxon Mobil Corp

New Mexico to get $64 Billion, thanks to crude oil benefits

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ExxonMobil today said a new study estimates the company’s development of Permian Basin resources in New Mexico will generate approximately $64 billion in net economic benefits for the state and local communities over the next 40 years, creating thousands of new jobs and providing increased funding for education, health and human services and infrastructure improvements.

Study evaluates planned development activities over the next 40 years
Research shows New Mexico to receive an estimated $62 billion in net fiscal benefits
Local communities to gain an estimated $1.8 billion in economic growth
“The Permian Basin is the engine of America’s energy renaissance and New Mexico residents will see direct economic benefits and opportunities from our planned investments,” said Darren W. Woods, chairman and chief executive officer of Exxon Mobil Corporation. “We will be a significant, long-term economic contributor to the state of New Mexico and will work hard to be a trusted member of the community.”

The state government will receive an estimated $62 billion in net fiscal benefits, $44 billion of which will come from new leases and royalties, according to the research. About $8.5 billion will come from state oil-and-gas severance taxes, said the study which was conducted for ExxonMobil by Impact Data Source. The research findings assume an oil price of $40 per barrel.

From an employment perspective, ExxonMobil’s activities will generate an average of 4,100 direct job opportunities for New Mexicans per year for the next 40 years, the study estimates. Over the next 40 years, the company’s operations are expected to generate a total of approximately $29 billion in new wages, salaries and benefits.

New Mexico Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham said the industry is crucial for residents and expressed optimism about the projections.

“The benefit to this state’s bottom line, as represented by investments from companies like ExxonMobil, has been enormous,” Gov. Lujan Grisham said. “My administration has been and will continue to be responsive to changes in the energy sector and the need for meaningful regulation and diversification as a means of ensuring a sustainable future – for our children, their education, the infrastructure that will support our collective future and more.”

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American debt-rating agencies go after Mexico’s Pemex

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Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador took office in December vowing to revive state-owned energy company Pemex and put the brakes on foreign investment to give the public a bigger cut of the country’s oil wealth. Those are fighting words for American debt-rating agencies, anytime they notice governments consolidating an industry for the benefit of the people they start downgrading. they are the protectors of Wallstreet profiteers.

With $106 billion in financial debt, Pemex would likely see borrowing costs soar as many investors dump its bonds.

Following President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador win it was expected that one would see and read news about how “notoriously corrupt” the petroleum company owned by the Mexican government is, after all, you can’t blame the fact that past Presidents didn’t invest into Pemex and would only use it as a piggy bank. take the refineries, for example, Mexico is just now starting to revive and update outdated refineries belonging to Pemex. and they want to build a modern oil refinery so they won’t depend on American refineries for fuel. but what does Mexico get in return? American debt-rating punish Mexico’s Pemex for not opening up to foreign investors.

It turns out that American debt-rating agencies are known for pushing  American foreign policy , So much so that China’s finance minister accuses credit rating agencies of bias.

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