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ConocoPhillips shale output to grow 25% in 2019, CEO says, even as oil slides

ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) expects its shale production to increase 25% next year even as crude oil prices tumble, proving the industry’s resilience in volatile markets, CEO Ryan Lance tells Bloomberg.

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ConocoPhillips plans $6.1 billion in capital expenditures in 2019, the oil and gas giant says, which is about the same amount the Houston-based company will spend by the end of 2018.

ConocoPhillips said it said it expects to buy back $3 billion of its own stock. The company plans to increase its target payout to shareholders to more than 30% of cash from operations, up from 20% to 30%. The company said it expects 2019 production to range from 1,300 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (MBOED) to 1,350 MBOED.

The CEO says COP’s wells in the Eagle Ford Shale, Permian Basin and Bakken field generate cash when prices hover ~$50/bbl; the company pumped 313K bbl/day from the three regions combined during Q3, or 25% of the company’s global production.

Production growth likely “slows down at $50 but I don’t think it stops at $50 and it certainly continues if prices get back to $60,” Lance says, adding that skeptics thought shale “wouldn’t last long but it’s here, it’s a huge resource and it’s going to be resilient and long lasting.”

ConocoPhillips plans $6.1B capex for 2019, $3B in share buybacks (Dec. 10)

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Aramco

Crude oil prices could plunge lower

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Saudi Arabia has restored half of the crude product that was lost to devastating attacks on its oil industry, and the kingdom said output will be fully restored by the end of this month.

If we don’t see any new drone attackS on Saudi oil infrastructure we could see Crude oil prices going even lower. Before the oil attacks against Saudi oil infrastructure, the Crude oil prices were already heading lower.

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Aramco

$1.5 trillion IPO up in smoke?

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New security fears jeopardize Saudi Aramco’s public stock offering following the attack.

last week Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser told media, the company would list on the Riyadh stock exchange “very soon” as bankers from JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Credit Suisse, and Citigroup met in Dubai to kickstart the offering.

The oil giant has delayed its IPO, originally scheduled for 2018, reportedly over Saudi concerns about public scrutiny over its finances and because of the complexity of its corporate structure. Prince Mohammed has touted a valuation of as high as $2 trillion, while a number of bankers recommend a figure closer to $1.5 trillion. The oil price will be key to this.

https://www.cnbc.com

Saudi Arabia oil facility attack launched from Iranian soil, US officials say. – No Proof has been brought forward yet on Iran’s involvement.

“I want to reiterate that the United States wholeheartedly condemns Iran’s attack on the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and we call on other nations to do the same,” Perry told reporters. “This behavior is unacceptable. It is unacceptable and they must be held responsible.”

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